Wednesday, April 6, 2016

Masters Preview 2016

Masters 2016











Maybe…Yes Sir! The Masters is upon us. 

Before we get any further I must inform you the entire broadcast of the 1986 Masters is available for one week only on masters.com.  It is a fascinating watch to see just how unexpected the Golden Bear’s victory was.  If you haven’t seen it, I strongly encourage you to stop reading this and watch it.  Among other incredible things it contains the great Ben Wright call after Jack’s eagle on 15, “There’s life in the old bear yet!”

Up here in the north, only the heartiest of men and women will be out on the golf course with snow forecast this weekend.  Thankfully, our good friends in Augusta are hosting the finest sporting event of the year this weekend so we can just enjoy the action on whatever platform you choose to watch it from. 

The birds are chirping, the flowers are blooming, and Nantz has found a new tie.  The champions have filled up on Texas BBQ, and chocolate chip cookies and ice cream.  Jack and Gary are ready to hit that tee ball tomorrow morning to get us started.  By the end of the weekend someone is going to be wearing a green jacket and we are fortunate enough to get to see it unfold.



The Amateurs

In an event started by the greatest amateur of all time, the amateurs will always have a spot amongst the competitors.  Some of them have higher hopes than others but there are six amateurs this year , US Amateur Champion and runner-up, the British Amateur champion, the Asia-Pacific Amateur champion, the Latin America amateur champion,  and the Mid-Amateur champion. 

Romain Langasque- British Amateur Champion- The French are known for a number of great things, most especially the croissant.  Great golfers are not one of them.  In my history as a golf fan there have only been two Frenchmen I can remember, Victor and Jean.  Only time will tell if Romain will be the next great, but he will be in Augusta thanks to his victory at the British Amateur championship last year.  Last year at the British Open there were amateurs everywhere with Paul Dunne leading and Ollie Schneiderjans storming up the leaderboard on Sunday. Mostly unnoticed because no one had ever heard of him Romain also made the cut. 

Cheng Jin- Asia-Pacific Amateur Championship & Paul Chaplet- Latin America champion- I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but we are probably one or two years from the a player in the Masters being born in the 2000s.  Cheng was born in 1998 and just turned 18.  Paul is 16 and was born in 1999.  Both qualified by winning these regional amateur tournaments that Augusta National had a big hand in starting in an effort to “grow the game” in these regions. 

Derek Bard- US Amateur Runner Up- Derek was the final victim of Bryson DeChambeau’s coronation as the best amateur golfer in America last summer.  Derek continues to attend and play for Virginia where he is having a pretty good junior season.  There was one potentially great player in the US Amateur final last year and it wasn’t Derek.

Sammy Schmitz- US Mid-Amateur Champion- As I say every year, the mid-amateur champion is often the worst player in the field, and is most likely the only person playing who won’t be a pro golfer.  Nobody had a better way to qualify for this year’s Masters though.  At the mid am last summer at St. John’s Island Sammy was leading the final by 2 holes with four to play.  The 15th hole is a 290 yard par 4.  Sammy pulled out his driver and aced it to move to three up with three to play.  I am sure his opponent was in shock and Sammy won the tournament and his place in the field on the next hole. 

To diminish his hopes even more, Sammy is from Minnesota, has a job and a family.  In order to get some practice and soak up the perks of getting into the Masters by playing Augusta National, Sammy raised $25K on go fund me to pay for trips.  I am sure this helped, but he is competing against people who have spent years and all of the last few months doing nothing but playing competitive golf.

Bryson DeChambeau- US Amateur Champion- At this point he is an amateur in name only since he has already announced he is turning pro next week.  But he is the most interesting man in golf at this point.  He brings the mind of a scientist to the game of golf, which in a field lacking Robert Karllson is desperately needed.  The biggest and main reason for his intrigue is the length of his clubs.  All of his irons are the same length because he then only has to make one swing.  I read an interview Jim Nantz did, and in it he mentioned if Bryson were to win it would revolutionize the game since everyone would at least try this concept. 

Due to some SMU related NCAA violations (surprisingly, not Larry Brown related), Bryson is unable to defend his NCAA championship this spring and as a result he dropped out of college and has played a number of events this fall/winter with a fair amount of success.  He has also been borrowing DVDs of past Masters from Nantz to study the greens.  I can’t wait to see this guy, and expect to see him play well.


Past Champions (who are no longer good)

The greatest perk of winning The Masters is you get a green jacket.  But one of the other great perks is you get to play the rest of your life, no matter how old or bad you get.  Until they gently suggest it is time.

Sandy Lyle- The 1988 champion has had some success the past few years which is always a surprise.  However, this year he has made a fellow middle aged golfer’s dream come true.  Sandy has accepted the offer of Esteban Toledo to caddie for him this year.  Esteban is a long time middling player and realized last year that he was likely not going to qualify for the Masters as a player.  He asked Gentle Ben Crenshaw if he could caddie for him last year, but because he it was his last Masters Ben stuck with his man Carl Jackson and they trained Jordan Spieth and Michael Greller about how to navigate Augusta.  This year, Esteban asked Sandy and after some thought he allowed him the honor to work for free and donate $10,000 to a charity of Sandy’s choice. 

Larry Mize- Larry lists his interests outside of golf as fishing, all sports and piano.  Does this mean he doesn’t consider fishing a sport or he enjoys doing the fishing but watching sports on TV?  Anyway, he is currently 82nd on the Senior Tour money list so his chances of success are very low.

Mark O’Meara- Mark is living the quiet life these days just being on the senior tour.  However, his son is making waves in the clothing world with his brand, Duvin, which to quote their website, “was started by four lifetime friends in the name of dudeness.”  I can’t say I am a likely customer, but if you are a surfer check it out.

Ian Woosnam- Woozy was lamenting his exclusion from the world golf hall of fame recently and said, “It is disappointing. Maybe I’m not in the limelight as much as other people who keep themselves in the limelight but that’s because I’m a quiet person. I don’t want to be in the limelight. Maybe that’s why I have been forgotten a little bit. But listen, if I don’t get in there it won’t be the end of the world.”  The good news for Woozy is if he wanted to remain under the radar he chose a great year to celebrate his 25th anniversary of winning the smallest green jacket, because this year we are celebrating the ’86 Masters instead of the ’91 Masters.  If he is lucky they might do a throwback cut in for a minute early in the broadcast Friday to talk ’91 Masters. 

Angel Cabrera- Angel has always been a bit of a wild card, a guy with tremendous talent and stretches of what seems to be disinterested play and then short periods where you wonder why this guy isn’t one of the all-time great players.  In the first two majors of the year we return to the sites of his two greatest triumphs.  By father’s day he could be halfway to the grand slam, but I doubt it.  His best finish this year is a 42nd in Palm Springs. 

Fred- Get Better Fred!!  See you in August at the Senior Open! (Fred is hurt and won’t be playing)

Bernhard Langer- As will be discussed again; the ban on anchoring the putter to your body went into effect when the calendar turned to 2016.  Bernhard was probably the most vocal critic of the new rule (Webb is right up there too) and so far has had the most controversy related to it.  While many of the guys who were anchoring changed putters, Bernhard is still using almost the exact same stroke with the long putter but right before he putts he moves it an inch off of his chest.  It is often hard to tell that it isn’t anchored and his competitors on the senior tour have made him aware of that. 

Tom Watson- The man who I have ranked at the 7th best player of all time (rankings only go back to Hagen/Jones) is making his final appearance at Augusta National this week.  He would be the obvious next in line to become an honorary starter. 

I read a great book last summer by Joe Posnanski, called The Secret of Golf.  It is about Nicklaus and Watson.  One thing that really stood out to me about Watson is he has a certain set of principles and sticks by them at all times, which is likely why he has ruffled some feathers along the way.  One of them which I found odd was the belief that dishwashers are ruining society because they are a way to cheat hard work.  Thus, Tom has never used a dish washing machine.  He does eat at restaurants that use them so he isn’t totally against dishes cleaned by them.

My All Time Top Ten Ranking
1     1- Jack
2       2- Tiger
3       3- Hogan
4       4- Jones
5       5- Hagen
6       6- Player
7       7- Watson
8       8- Snead
9       9- Nelson
1        10- Palmer

The Worst Champions Ever?

These two really aren’t old, they just aren’t good

Trevor Immelman- At last year’s Masters Trevor’s chances that week and his game in general were looking very bad.  Since then he has slipped from 560th in the world to 1,558th.  This slip is mostly due to missing 12 of 17 cuts, a DQ and four cuts made with the best finish being a tie for 32nd in the Barbasol Championship. 

My Queer- Mike Weir- It is not a good sign for your game when you decide the best course of action to take some time off.  I have never heard of some saying they are playing too well so they are taking some time off.  So you can imagine the state of The Queer’s game when he announced last July he was going to be taking time off.  He has since returned to professional golf, but the results remain the same.  Missed Cuts.

Won’t survive the cut

The Aging Europeans 

These three have been a thorn in the side of American’s for years so I won’t be sad to see Darren Clarke leave any of them at home (in Florida) during this year’s Ryder Cup

Ian “Poultry” Poulter- If you have decided to pick a fight with a pro golfer I suggest you go elsewhere.  At the Valspar Championship Ian was heckled by an adult, who then bragged about yelling at Ian and being drunk during the event on twitter.  Since Ian is leading the tour in twitter, he was quick to notice, find his employer, and report this to his employer.  His employer was not thrilled with their employee and fired the guy.  As he has proven many times before at the Ryder Cup, Ian is deadly in a one on one situation.

Graeme McDowell- As we have followed the last few years, Graeme is now in the restaurant business.  His first one is going so well he is expanding, with a new restaurant featuring G Mac & Cheese.  He has also played some golf and played better than last year, but still not good.  However, he seems to be this year’s guy who has a “new game plan.”  Every year there is some guy, usually who stinks at Augusta, who comes in with a new plan.  This year that guy is Graeme.  Almost always the new plan doesn’t work.  Last year it was Lee Westwood.

Lee Westwood- Lee has played 4 times this year and has missed three cuts and the fourth was the match play where he didn’t advance past pod life.  His streak of nine cuts made in a row will come to an end on Friday.


The Ryder Cup Captains

The fact that these two are in the field is a bit of a surprise and I am pretty sure neither has very high expectation.  Regarding the Ryder Cup weather, they are really playing with fire playing in Minnesota in the beginning of October. 

Darren Clarke- Darren is spending his time fishing and planning for the Ryder Cup.  He seems to be living the life fishing for either Permit or Bonefish down in the Bahamas or missing the cuts in golf tournaments.   He is still playing based on his victory at the British Open in 2011.  Barring a total miracle this will be his final time at The Masters as a player.

Davis Love III- In what was one of the most surprising finishes of 2015, Love won the Wyndham championship in Greensboro for a very unexpected win and spot in the Masters.  Since he got into a bunch of tournaments he is playing in more PGA events than he expected, while still making time for hunting and fishing.   Don’t worry America, he still has made plenty of time for picking out the golf shirts the players will wear at Hazeltine.    

The long putter casualties

These guys were using anchored putters and this new rule has really hurt them so far

Webb Simpson- Starting last season Webb switched to the short putter in order to be ready for the rule change this year.  So far it has not been a great success.  At the start of 2015 he was 43rd in the world and he is currently 80th.  After the first year of the short putter he wasn’t worried.  Year 2 started off better, but has gone downhill since February.

According to his twitter account he has recently moved into the 5th Galaxy with his Samsung Galaxy.  I have recently moved away from the 5th Galaxy and I am not sure how it will affect my golf game, but I was pleased with it in the 5th Galaxy.  Although I will concede it is possible your golf game and your phone are not related. 

Keegan Bradley- It is somewhat fitting that the guy who won the 2011 PGA with an anchored putter to really get the discussion of a ban underway is now having the most trouble converting to the new rule.  This week Keegan dropped out of the top 100 in the world for the first time since he won that PGA.


The rest of the trunk slammers

For a myriad of reasons these guys just aren’t playing very well

Martin Kaymer- It was about 21 months ago that Martin won the US Open by 9 shots.  Since then he has played so little and poorly he lost his tour card because he didn’t play in enough events.  While this isn’t a huge problem since he can get into plenty of tournaments he also hasn’t played very well.  For a guy who has almost always struggled at Augusta no matter his form coming in this doesn’t bode well.

Steven Bowditch- The inability to break 80 is a major problem in pro golf and it is one Mr. Bowditch is having with troubling regularity this year, at one point posting 5 straight rounds in the 80s.  He did break 80 both rounds last week while still being nowhere near the cut.  Since he last broke par on tour he has shot in the 80s six times. Thankfully, if this doesn’t get turned around he won’t be lingering like Weir and Immelman he will just be out of our lives trying to turn it around somewhere outside of Augusta.

Troy Merritt- Like most 30 year old men, Troy has read each of the 7 Harry Potter books at least 12 times.  Hopefully he learned some of the magic involved in those books because to be slipping into a green jacket he is going to need every trick in the book to make up for his lack of distance.  (Note: While I have some interest in reading these books, I have not done so.  If magic isn’t involved my apologies to Potter fans)




Vaughn Taylor- The Augusta native makes a long waited and welcome return to Augusta this week.  Vaughn played in the Masters in 2007 and 2008 before a long (almost) decade in the wilderness.  After a shocking win, both because he won and Phil couldn’t get up in down from the front of the green, at Pebble Beach he returns.  However, I wouldn’t spend too much betting on this guy.  His finishes so far this year are MC, MC, WD, 1st, MC, MC, MC, MC.  So if he makes the cut watch out.

Fabian Gomez- In contrast to some of these youngsters, Mr. Gomez has taken a longer time to make it to the Masters at the solid middle age of 37 years old.  He is also in the midst of just his 4th year on tour with many of the previous years spent on the Argentine tour.  He seems to have found his stride on tour with a win last year in Memphis and another this year in Hawaii at the Sony Open.  However, he seems to have a difficult time in events where the other guys ranked in the top 50 are playing.  Given his penchant for slow starting and the fact that these other top 50 guys are all playing this week, I don’t have high hopes for him this week.

Hunter Mahan- The man who was once a lock for top 10s and making a ton of money is in a major slump, dropping out of the top 100 in the world this week.  His caddie left him for the ping pong talent of Matt Kuchar, he sold his house in Dallas to Jordan Spieth and somewhere along the way his game departed him too.

A not interesting fact- His dad has the same name as one of my dogs. 

Victor Dubuisson- So far Victor has only been able to win in Turkey, where he has now won the Turkish Airlines Open twice, most recently at the end of 2015.  However, for some reason this year he has only played 4 times.  In those 4 times he has not played well either, with two missed cuts and two low finishes in the world golf championships. 

Anirban Lahiri- The pride of the Indian subcontinent, Anirban shot up the world rankings last year with victories all over Asia and India.  Due to his high standing in the world rankings he has been able to play many times in America.  So far things have not gone very well at all.  Unless there is a very last minute change to move The Masters out of the country, Anirban is in trouble.  

Billy Horschel- I was once talking to someone about a hockey goalie (Steven Mason for the CBJ fans) and I asked him what he thought was wrong with him his response was, “I’ve heard of a guy having a 3 month hot streak, I’ve never heard of a guy having a 2 year cold streak.”  I feel like the back to back wins en route to the Fed Ex Cup was a hot streak and his poor play since and before then is more like reality.  Given his lack of success in the past at Augusta and his lack of success in the past year I don’t see the hot streak starting again this week.

Soren Kjeldsen- Soren came out of nowhere to win on one of the greatest golf courses in the world last year when he won the Irish Open at Royal County Down.  Can he do it again this week?  Based on his recent play it is very unlikely. 

Ernie Els- The most news Ernie has made in the past year is the result of missing ridiculously short putts due to a yippy stroke.  He says the problem has resolved by going cross handed.  I hope he is right because nothing is uglier than yipping a one foot putt.  Speaking from my own experience though, that is something that stays with you.  With greens this fast I will have to see it to believe he is fixed.

Playing the Weekend

The top 50 and ties and anyone within 10 shots of the lead will make it to the weekend this year.  Since there are only 89 players in the field a pretty decent amount of the guys who start on Thursday will be around on Sunday.

Jim Herman- Go Hermie Go- The 90th member of the field (until the devastating withdraw of Fred so we are down to 89) had an incredible win last weekend.  Like most of America, I spent last Sunday watching the golf tournament from 1-6 with a brief interlude at 3 because the hockey game on NBC wasn’t over so I caught up on the Blackhawks for 5 minutes.  I was cheering for local favorite, Kyle Reifers, but as soon as it became clear he wasn’t going to win it was all I could do to avoid spraining my ankle jumping on the @gohermie bandwagon.  So far this season there have been two back to back champions so maybe he can become the third?


Zach “Jerk” Johnson- Last year’s final round of the British Open was probably the most exciting day of golf of the year.  As you may recall, the day started off with a trio of leaders, Jason Day, Louis Oosthuizen and amateur Paul Dunne.  You had Jordan one stroke behind going for the third leg of the grand slam, and Day tied with him.  The action went back and forth with different people taking the lead.  Out of nowhere though, Jerk Johnson sneaked to the top of the leader board and took the lead with a great putt on 18 and an even better bird dance reaction from his caddie Damon Green.  While this was concerning, all the other players who people wanted to win still had holes left and would hopefully pass him.  Sadly, this was not the case and what was likely the best day of the year of golf was marred with this character as the champion.   

Charl Schwartzel- Charl has won three of the last eight tournaments he played.  However, it seems every year since his break through win in 2011 he has been playing well coming into The Masters and that hasn’t yielded great results with his highest finish being a tie for 25th since then.  That said, I like his chances of winning a second green jacket over his chances of doing something interesting.

Vijay Singh- The lion is still battling out his lawsuit with the PGA Tour and also still battling it out on the PGA Tour rather than teeing it up on the Senior/Champions tour like most 53 year olds who are great at golf do.  He is having some success on both counts, but his putting remains iffy at best and for that reason I don’t love his chances to slip into his second green jacket on Sunday.

Justin Rose- Mr. Rose seems to be the popular pick amongst gamblers due to his good finish last year and his comparably high odds.  However, by his own admission his short game is a mess.  His long game is so good he might be able to largely mitigate the problem, but somewhere along the way he will need an up and down.

Jason Dufner- In the past few years nobody has had a bigger appearance change than Jason.  However, his game hasn’t changed too much which is both good and bad.  He should have plenty of chances at birdies thanks to his excellent ball striking, but his putting remains shaky as ever. 

Paul Casey- His Tuesday consisted of an ace on 12 and watching the 86 Masters documentary.  His Thursday will consist of 18 with the defending champion and US Amateur champion.  That is a solid week.

Ryan Moore- Ryan appears to be wearing normal clothing this year and it is paying off with some good finished.  With Bryson DeChambeau taking the crown of “man with the most eccentric clubs” from him maybe he will focus just on his golf.

Kevin Na- As a rule of thumb, it is not great news for a golfer’s chances at The Masters if three months ago there was an article about you called, “Inside the Complicated Mind of Kevin Na: A Case Study in the Frailty of a Golfer’s psyche”  As you can likely guess by the title there was an article about Kevin this year about all of the mental trouble he has had swinging, finishing etc.  If you don’t remember all this nonsense consider yourself lucky.  The premise of the article is he has been cured of his troubles, but I am going to have to see him under the gun to believe it.  I tend to like my Masters picks in a green jacket not a strait jacket.



Kevin Streelman-The man of streel and I have a lot of parallels going on with each other this year.  First, we were both cheering for Villanova Monday night.  Second, his wife Courtney was pregnant and it was looking like he was going to miss the Masters.  I have a similar situation going on at my house and have already bypassed an invitation to play in a major to ensure I am available for the baby to be born.  Fortunately for Streel, his baby came early and healthy and he is ready to go.  Due to the condensed northern schedule if that happens to me I will miss both majors I am scheduled for in June.

Branden Grace- Branden is convinced most fans couldn’t pick him out of a line up and he isn’t wrong.  However, he was one bad swing from winning the US Open and had a good finish at the PGA.  He seems to be primed for a big win.  However, he hasn’t fared well at The Masters the last two years.  I like he chances at Oakmont or Baltusrol though. 

Marc Leishman- It is a very happy return to Augusta for Marc.  Last year he withdrew from The Masters because his wife was sick with a life threatening illness.  Thankfully she recovered and was in good health by the time the big Aussie played in the British Open playoff.  Big Marc has all the shots one needs and plenty of length to get it done this week.

Chris Kirk-  The man born in Knoxville but reared in Woodstock, Georgia has been right on the bubble of the top 50 in the world the last 6 months after climbing up to 17th last May.  He played well at the match play until falling to Rory in quarters. 

Harris English- While his back is still acting up and he can’t show off his prodigious talent this week, the word of one Frederick Steven Couples is still gospel around here.  I was watching an interview with Fred and he was asked who he thought was the best looking guy on tour and he named Harris English.  Who is going to argue with Fred about looks?  I put a picture so you can judge for yourself.




Danny Lee- After his win last year at the Greenbrier, Danny had this to say, "It was just amazing. It's phenomenal. It's my fourth time playing here, and I liked it every single year. Only one wish I had was if I had a girlfriend, it wouldn't be as lonely in the room."  This became a mission for a few of the tour players, especially Pat Perez.  At one point since then he had a lady in his life but my internet research could not determine the status of their relationship.  However, in golf he may have bigger relationship problems.  He is breaking in a new caddie this week after a split with his old one.  He should have hired a local guy this week.

Shane Lowry- Shane celebrated his birthday on Saturday with a round at Augusta with some of his best buddies.  Unfortunately, the reason he was playing there Saturday was because he missed the cut in Houston. 

J.B. Holmes- If it weren’t for bad injury luck JB would have no luck at all.  Fortunately, his current injury is much less severe than the brain surgery he had.  However, he withdrew last week from the Shell Houston open with a shoulder injury.  It sounds like he is going to give it a go but I don’t think this helps him.

Kevin Kisner- The Kis was on fire for about 6 months last year and was knocking on the door for a win most of the summer.  He finally got a win in the state of Georgia at the finest sponsored tournament on tour the RSM Classic.  However, after the tour took a trip to Hawaii, he returned home but his hot streak didn’t come with him.  Having grown up twenty miles from Augusta in Aiken, South Carolina he may have an advantage, but I would have felt a lot better about him in January.

Brooks Koepka- With Tiger out, Brooks may be the only guy in the field with his own logo.



He is a popular pick this week due to prodigious length and all around game.  However, I had this guy on my fantasy team last year and spent all summer cheering for him.  I was let down frequently.

Matt Kuchar- After a 5 year reign in the top 10 of the world the Kuch has dropped slightly in the last year and a half.  Is he simply in a slump or on a decline?  I am hoping we will see those pearly whites late on Sunday, but things are not looking as good as they did in prior years.

Scott Piercy- In his last three starts he has finished 17th, 18th, and 19th so he will almost certainly finish 20th this week.

Robert Streb- Robert almost provided one of the great highlights on tour last season.  At the Greenbrier he broke his putter after gently tossing it back to his caddie.  One interesting note about clubs that get broken without video evidence, it is always due to a gentle toss and it is a fluke they break.  Since he was not able to replace it he had to putt with his sand wedge the entire back nine.  It seemed like all hope was lost but then a funny thing happened.  He was awesome with the sand wedge and wound up in a playoff.  He was then able to replace the broken putter and ultimately lost in the playoff because he didn’t stick with the one who brought him.  He also hit it over the green and chipped numerous times in the playoff.

Jimmy Walker- Jimmy is a Baylor Bear so it seems to be an appropriate time to discuss the best show on HGTV, Fixer Upper.  The show is set in the thriving metropolis of Waco, Texas which has to have the cheapest real estate of cities featured on TV.  It stars Jo and Chip Gaines who are a contracting/interior decorator team.  The basic premise of the show is they buy a house for very cheap (often under $50K or less) then put 100-150K into the house and make an incredible looking home for the people.  One thing I always find interesting is Chip just assumes they want to spend their entire budget.  Generally the houses appear to be teardowns and by the end they look great.  We are big fans.

Jimmy became the first man to ever break 20 in the par 3 contest today.  Thus he is doomed this week.  

Sergio- Probably my biggest regret in the history of writing this preview, even bigger than ever starting to do it in the first place, is the fact that I once picked The Canary to win it all.  Every time I see him on TV I am reminded of this great blunder, but my thinking at the time was his new found success with the claw grip.  Not only have I given up on Sergio but it seems he would be as surprised as anyone to win this week.  As it is becoming more and more clear Sergio is not going to win a major I can’t help but think what if that putt at Carnoustie in 2007 had gone in?  Man it was close. 

Off the top of my head, some of the great what ifs of golf-

1)       Sergio making that putt against Paddy- Does Sergio start to win and contend in major championships regularly?  He was 27 at the time.  He has finished 2nd in two majors since then and both involved colossal collapses by him. 
2)       Ogilvy not chipping in on 17 at Winged Foot- What if he doesn’t make that chip on 17 and Phil has a two shot lead as he tees off on 18.  He just has to bogey to win the second leg of the grand slam and his third straight major.  Could he have done the Phil slam?
3)       Watson doesn’t chip in on 17 at Pebble- Obviously we wouldn’t have possibly the most famous shot in golf, but Jack would have won his 5th US Open.  Does the ’86 Masters come as such a surprise?
4)       Larry Mize chip- You could make a what ifs of miracle shots involving Norman twice this long, but does this change everything for him?
5)       Yang-A-Tang doesn’t chip in at Hazeltine to beat Tiger- Does the implosion to Tiger still happen?  Probably because it was too big of a house of cards to never come out, but maybe his game doesn’t fall apart as quickly.  Maybe the scandal comes out later and Tiger wins a few majors in 2010 to put him right up there at 17 majors right now.


Thongchai Jaidee- Thirty years ago a 46 year old man became the oldest Masters champion of all time.  If this 46 year old does the same I can guarantee it will be met with less fan fare. 

Danny Willett- Danny wasn’t expecting to be able to play this week because his wife was due with a baby this week.  Fortunately for Danny this child decided to arrive about two weeks earlier than expected and he is able to play.  Danny is a rising star of European golf but with this baby at home, I am concerned about how much practice he will have had in the last few weeks.  For you Americans, just wait for this guy to dominate is at the Ryder Cup.

Byeong-hun An (Ben An)- Mr. An is making his second appearance at The Masters, and first since the 2010 version when he was the reigning US Amateur.  This is based only on my own speculation, but I bet about 15% of the guys who play as an amateur end up making it back as a pro.  At the end of the 1986 Masters broadcast a gentleman named Sam Randolph was in the Butler Cabin with Jack, Brent Musburger and the Augusta National guy.  He was the low amateur for the second year in a row.    

Cameron Smith- This guy allegedly got 4th at the US Open last year with an eagle on the final hole.  I watched the entire US Open last year and have no recollection of this guy ever being on my tv screen at any point during that round.  Since this alleged 4th place finish Cameron has been playing well and got 11th at Pebble Beach.  If you see a guy who appears to be 15, it is either this guy or the amateur who is 16.

Matthew Fitzpatrick- Matthew is making his second appearance at Augusta in three years and the man is 20 years old.  Like An, he won the US Amateur to qualify.  He won his US amateur in 2013, prior to his freshman year at Northwestern.  Following in the footsteps of most Kentucky basketball players, he only lasted until Christmas break as a wildcat when he decided that his future was in golf and Evanston wasn’t the place to pursue it.   So far that is looking like a wise decision.  He won his first tournament on the European tour last October in the slightly less prestigious British Masters.

Daniel Berger- The last time we saw Mr. Berger he was trying to hit a ball that was near a rock wall in Austin Country Club.  He was playing Phil in the match play tournament and had driven his ball near a rock wall, but he thought he would be able to hit it.  He took many practice swings to make sure he had enough room.  Then he tried to hit the ball for real and as we all know happens, the swing changed and he in fact didn’t have enough room.  He hit the wall but not the ball leading to a loss of the hole, the match and an injured wrist.

Emiliano Grillo- The “class of 2011” is quickly becoming the 1983 QB draft class of golf.  The guys in that class and also in The Masters are, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Daniel Berger, and Grillo.  Within a month last fall Grillo won the Web.com tour championship and then turned right around and won his first tournament up in wine country at the Frys.com. 

Smylie Kaufman- This young man should be thanking his parents for such a great name.  Smylie who has a brother named Luckie, won the second tournament of the year with a scorching 61 in the final round in Las Vegas.  Since then he has been playing well. 

David Lingmerth- David is best known for his victory at the Memorial last year in a heated final round battle with fellow European Union member Justin Rose.  Unfortunately for David, he has no chance to win this tournament or any other major championship due to something he had no control over.  In the year of his birth, 1987, David’s uncle Goran served as the kicker for the Cleveland Browns getting just enough Browns stink on himself and the rest of the family to curse them to a lifetime of heartbreak.

Russell Knox- When J.B. Holmes withdrew from the HSBC World Golf Championship last year, Russell took his place.  After having his wife fill out the paperwork necessary to get a work visa in China at the last minute, and playing one quick practice round, Russell notched his first and so far only victory. 

Kiradech Aphibarnrat- In the world of golf it has been at least 15 years since being compared to John Daly was a compliment, but Kiradech enjoys the nickname Asia’s John Daly.  With a swing similar to long John’s swing and the physique, in John’s heavier days, to match the comparison is reasonable even if no one really would want it.  The only drawback is so far he seems to actually be trying and enjoying golf when he plays.

Jamie Donaldson- When I was a youngster my dad passed on the great wisdom that the best tool box is the yellow pages.  This is advice that I pass on to all of these golfers competing for almost $2M this week and one that Jamie learned the hard way.  This winter Jamie was doing some work involving a chainsaw and almost ended his golf career or at least severely changed it.  As you can see, his pinkie was almost a goner.  Surprisingly, this injury ended up healing rather quickly and his game does not seem to have suffered. 





Andy Sullivan- There were not many guys in the world hotter than Andy last year who won three times on the European Tour (only once in Europe though) to move into the top 50 in the world.  Outside of his strong golf game, he takes great pride in being funny.  From what I can tell he finds himself much funnier than anyone else thinks he is.  Based on a few interviews I have seen he would be a good fit on the English version of The Office.

Bernd Wiesberger- The cheeseburger got all of the names of the holes stamped on one of his wedges to put him more in the mood this week.  I have mixed feelings about this, it is cool but it also seems like something a high school girl’s team would do, but maybe it will help him. 



Chris Wood- Every year one of the players has a snafu with his clubs getting lost by the airlines.   This year it was Chris.  The fine folks at whatever airline he was using suggested he rent a set and they will reimburse the cost.  Of course Chris did not think this was a reasonable option.  I am unsure about the club rental policy at Augusta National, but the airline is who should really be thanking their lucky stars because there isn’t a worse deal than the price of renting a set of clubs.  A rental for a week would cost thousands of dollars.  I would also be surprised if anyone in this field could compete with 5 year old Taylor Mades with regular shafts.

Rafael Cabrera-Bello- This Spaniard might be the 8th hottest player in the world and has moved up the world rankings more this year than anyone in the top 50. 

Top Sixteen

The fine folks at Augusta adjusted the rules and now only the top 12 and ties automatically get invited to next year’s Masters.  Since there will probably be a few guys tied I decided to rank 16 guys.

16) Rory McIlroy- If this were a one day tournament I would have Rory as the overwhelming favorite.  Since this is a four day event I am more leery of Rory.  For some reason every week he has a score in the mid 70s and needs to shoot a ridiculously low number to get back into it.  He is very capable of doing so, but it puts a lot of pressure of him.  Part of the reason for the big score swings is his putting, both cross handed and conventional, is streaky.  He is also tends to struggle some on firm courses where the ball rolls out.  All these things combined make me think Rory will need to shoot something crazy low on Sunday to finish the career grand slam. 

I have an additional prediction related to Rory: He will be the first person to shoot under 63 at a major championship. 

Finally, Rory’s custom Nike golf balls have a camouflage swoosh on them.  While it won’t make any difference it seems like adding camouflage to a golf ball is the opposite of what you want to do.

15) Dustin Johnson- Instead of the year of the golden child Spieth, we could almost as easily be coming off the year of redemption for the man from Myrtle Beach.  Following a return from suspension, a three putt on the 18th at Chambers Bay cost him a chance at the US Open, but it was the collapse at St. Andrews that gives me more pause.  Prior to the Jerk winning, it looked like it was going to be a DJ runaway.  He had a lead after 36 holes, could drive half the greens and 20 under par or more was expected.  Then the weekend started and it was all over for DJ.  He was everywhere on the course and his body language was somewhere between “why am I here” and “when will this be over?”  Are we going to look back and say, boy all those close calls built up to a big win or man I can’t believe a guy as good as him never won a major?

14) Bill Haas- One of the big takeaways I had watching the full 1986 Masters broadcast was before the Nicklaus charge even began, Jay Haas was charging up the leader board.  The TV coverage couldn’t get enough of Jay during the first hour.  If Bill is to win this week, I think he will do it by coming from behind and posting a number.  As a fan of Bill, I get nervous when he is in contention because he looks so uncomfortable.  At the Valspar it looked like he was going to win most of the day but by the last couple holes I wasn’t sure he was going to be able to take a swing at the ball.  He has played well in the past at Augusta and I think he will again this week, but I can’t imagine him holding it together coming down the stretch of a heated battle.

13) Brandt Snedeker- There are some things you can set your watch to in golf like spring time in Augusta, the US Open on Father’s day, Dustin Johnson falling apart in the majors.  One that is getting very close and admittedly specific is, if Brandt Snedeker wins on the west coast he will miss some time due to a rib injury.  This time it seems to have been less of a setback than in past years and he is back.  Can he get back in the mix and avenge his narrow loss to Trevor Immelman in the classic 2008 final round.

12) Patrick Reed- The man no one wants to see up there.  The media doesn’t seem interested in him and the players don’t want to be around him.  However, in golf you play four rounds and put a number next to your name and quite frequently his is one of if not the lowest. 

11) Hideki Matsuyama- The man who puts so much power into each of his shots that his shoes squeak is another of the young superstars.  He took down Rickie in the desert and has played well since then.  He has the iron play to do it as long as he makes a few putts look for him to be in contention when the tournament starts Sunday afternoon.   

10) Bubba Watson- You don’t bet against Bubba and the San Francisco Giants in even years.  What I don’t like about Bubba this year is everyone is talking about him.  When he won in 2012 especially and 2014 there wasn’t much fanfare about him coming into the event.  Heightened expectations might bother Mr. Sensitive. 

9) Justin Thomas- Best known for being Jordan’s Spieth buddy, Justin is an excellent player in his own right.  He is from the city of Louisville.  He matriculated to Alabama where he spent two seasons.  This trip to college could end up being a big help to him this week.  One of his teammates on the tide was the son of Jeff Knox, who is a member and the course record holder at Augusta National.  Some of you may recall seeing Knox over the years as the marker for a single in the first group on the weekend and often times beating his playing partner.  Over the winter, Justin took a few trips to Augusta with Knox to pick his brain about the course and learn as much as possible.

8) Charley Hoffman- The glory ultimately belonged to another 38 year old last week in Houston, but Charley was leading after two rounds.  After a top 10 finish last year, and playing in the final group in last year’s 3rd round look for the man in the green glove to be in the thick of it this weekend.

7) Rickie Fowler- During the NCAA basketball tournament this year there was a great commercial for Buick where the woman asks the guy if he locked the car and he was able to do so on his app.  She then asked if he closed the windows and of course he hadn’t and there were pigeons everywhere.  I am not sure why that was his job, but that is beside the point.  There were also some great Rickie Fowler commercials for the Masters.  In one his entire refrigerator is filled with pimento cheese sandwiches, in another his alarm clock is him waking him up with the sounds of bird chirping.  In the third, it was him looking at his closet full of green shirts, and him saying green in the new orange.  I’ve said it before and I will say it again, he won’t win The Masters in predominantly orange. I thought he finally gets it with these green shirts.  Even though I am not sure a green shirt and a green jacket is a great look I thought this was going to be his year.  Then I went on Puma’s website to confirm he was wearing green on Sunday.  I was betrayed.  He will be in orange.  Last time I trust commercials.  I bet that car locking app doesn’t even work.

6) Phil Mickelson- Phil finally found a good swing coach after years with Butch Harmon and he says he is hitting the ball better than ever.  I suspect he has something new to work on and that his helping his enthusiasm level, but the couple times he has gotten in the mix he has not come through, including blowing a lead at Pebble Beach.  I am sure his ball striking and short game are going to be good, it is the putting that leads me to believe he isn’t going to win, but never count out Phil at Augusta.   

5) Adam Scott- Last summer it was looking like Adam was going to be lost without his long putter and Stevie and he was last year.  What a difference a year makes with the biggest concern for this sweet swinging Aussie is if Stevie will screw him up.  He should be thanking the USGA for making him get rid of the broomstick and give the claw a try.  It suits him.  Will a second green jacket also suit him? 

4) Louis Oosthuizen- Quietly, Louis has been knocking on the door of a big win.  The knock on him has always been his motivation but he seems very interested in winning another major.  Bubba broke his heart in 2012 with that amazing shot in from the trees.  Watch for Louis to be quietly lurking all week.

3) Jordan Spieth- The man, the myth, the legend has finished 2nd and 1st in his two Masters appearances so far.  He also had one of the greatest seasons of all time last year so it is hard to predict him not playing well this week.  Sure his game seems a hair off, but he played well last week.  The biggest problem is his short putting.  Last year the short putts were scary with the looking at the hole or not, but they went in.  This year they are missing a little bit more often and it is costing him.  Last week the putter was looking a lot better.  May Spieth-a-mania start again!

2) Henrik Stenson- Nobody looks more imposing when they swing a golf club than Steely Stenson.  He is also often able to beat all but one person in the tournament, with an unbelievable amount of 2nds in the past year.  Since his last win at the end of 2014, he has finished 2nd 8 times, 3rd a few times and 4th a few times. 

1) Jason Day- Last year during the PGA I was at a wedding in California.  Due to the wedding starting about an hour and a half late and it being at a place where there was no cell service, so I was in the dark for about 4 hours that Saturday. I was still living in the 5th Galaxy at that time so my battery was running low so I just had to turn my phone off.  When I turned it on I was inundated with text messages and the news that Jason Day was in the lead and Jordan was on his heels.  A dream come true.  The next day we drove down to San Francisco.  My wife and her sister found a great place to eat whose specialty was fried chicken.  So I had a plate of fried chicken and headed back for the hotel while they went to check out the town.  As I sat with a belly full of fried chicken I watched one of the most incredible performances I had ever seen.  Jason was hitting the ball unthinkable distances and making putts from anywhere.  Since then he has been the best player in the world.  The weather may not allow it, but coming off of two straight wins I see him figuring out this course and challenging the -18 record owned by the Tiger and Jordan.  For the first time in 30 years a green jacket will be in Columbus!




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